Imagine my irritation when I see the news outlets and the Governor’s edicts do not match the state data. The news is saying that there are bodies hitting the floor from the new Delta variant. The first Delta case was identified in December 2020, before we even knew there was a pandemic and the variant soon became the predominant strain of the virus in both India and then Great Britain. According to the news it has recently taken over New Jersey in the month of July.
First thing to note… Pandemics are measured in deaths, not cases. So lets look at the data from the NJ pandemic Dashboard to see how many people died WITH COVID, NOT FROM COVID (You will only find people who died FROM COVID looking at the NJ state death certificate data). Below is a copy of a state graph of all the deaths from March2020 to July 2021, basically the entire pandemic timeline.
Not sure what you see, but the virus death curve looks pretty flat to me. I’d even say it has flatlined. Looks like the pandemic is dead folks.
You can see CLEARLY a first wave, then a lower second wave, but no third wave. I can’t guarantee that there will be no future third wave during the winter, since this is a seasonal virus, but what I can tell you is that it will be a fraction of the second wave. Just like the second wave is a fraction of the first wave.
OK OK so NOW you say “Noooooo, you don’t get it, the HOSPITALS ARE FLOODED with COVID patients.”
All rightie, Lets take a look at the people who were hospitalized WITH COVID (NOT FROM COVID). I can’t obtain the actual reason for hospitalization because of HIPAA but you can get a count of how many were admitted WITH COVID (Just like you get the FLU numbers) because this is a public disease.
Not seeing that surge in the hospitals. Ok, I’ll admit there were a few low days around June 15 then there was a hairline increase, but the hospitalization each day didn’t rise to pandemic levels. Keep in mind, you don’t even know why they were admitted to the hospital. It could be for anything.
So now you say… “NOOOOOOOOOOO you don’t understand the cases are rising.”
Look, if your cases don’t end up in deaths or hospitalizations then you have a cold. You are freaking out over a cold.
Stop getting COVID tested for a cold. You are only giving Murphy a reason to shut us down. If you are concerned, get vaccinated. That will reduce your risk of infection and death as proven by the placebo control randomized clinical trials.
Look at the graphs. We are NOT in April 2020. The war is over. Lets get back to normal. I’m not sure what metric you need to see to live a normal life but you have to decide when you want to stop playing pandemic. And it has to be YOUR decision to stop because it seems like the Governor wants to play this game forever, or until we vote his ass out.
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Thank you!